WINTER WEATHER MAY BE ON TAP FOR SATURDAY

A coastal low is probabe to develop fri into sat. depending on exact track will depend on amount of snow vs rain, Temp trends have been trending down and models are not all in agreement only that there will be precip fri nite through sat nite . will keep updated

FALL STORMS SOAK SW VA

An upper level low along with an influence of a coast allowed a boundry to setup and form severe weather. Winds of 60mph hail the size of pennys and rain of 1.12 inches in 30 min occured.

SEVERE STORM GETS FUNNEL

August 11 2009

In one of my new found wide open areas to visually see storms , i was sitting to gather pics of a developing severe thunderstorm. I was sitting there camera at hand . I noticed a nice rain free base behind the precip core statind to get a wall cloud. then a funnel. No touchdown occured , but it was a nice begaining to end shot .


severe wx

A SEVERE DAY, Not as bad for me

Severe weather broke out in SW VA as a low developed in NC . There were numorous reports of hail and wind damage as well as flash floodinfg but most happened just south of us in the NRV(new River Valley) we had one interesting storm but just under severe limits with 45 mph win gusts and torrental rain of an inch an hour totaling in 1.34 inches for the day

It was my moms bithday so we i spent most of my time with her and stayed at home to see what would hit us....

SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD TREAT HIGH FOR ROANOKE

The latest MesoAnalysis for the SPC is looking nasty.The Probablity of tornadoes is increasing , there is alot of change of wind with height. There will be torrental rain with the dewpoints in the 70s it is looking conducive for both.

SEVERE WEATHER DUE FRIDAY

INFO COURTESY OF STORM PREDICTION CENTER

...NEW ENGLAND INTO THE SERN STATES...

LARGE-SCALE PATTERN FRI APPEARS QUITE SIMILAR TO THAT WHICH PRODUCED
SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND
YESTERDAY /WED/. AIR MASS IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN
QUITE MOIST WITH DEWPOINTS OF 65-75 F. WHILE MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL REMAIN WEAK...POCKETS OF STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE APPROACHING 1000-1500 J/KG OVER SWRN NEW
ENGLAND INTO THE DELMARVA...TO 1500-2000 J/KG FROM SERN VA THROUGH
THE CNTRL/ERN CAROLINAS.

FRONTAL BAND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING FRI MORNING W OF
THE APPALACHIANS WITHIN ZONE OF DEEP ASCENT IN ADVANCE OF MIDLEVEL
IMPULSE. THE COMBINATION OF DCVA IN ADVANCE OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH
AND DIRECT CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH EXIT REGION OF UPPER JET
STREAK OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND QUEBEC SHOULD LEAD TO AN
INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON E OF THE BLUE RIDGE. INCREASING GRADIENT FLOW /40-50 KT
SWLY WINDS IN THE 850-500 MB LAYER/ ATTENDANT TO MIDLEVEL TROUGH
WILL RESULT IN SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELL AND/OR BOWING
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND PERHAPS ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SEWD THROUGH THE SERN STATES
WITHIN A MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. HOWEVER...DECREASED
FORCING FOR ASCENT AND VERTICAL SHEAR WITH SWD EXTENT SHOULD LIMIT
THE POTENTIAL FOR A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT.







we will have to see how this pans out




BACK IN NJ AND PA THERE WAS SOME TORNADOES THE REPORTS ARE HERE COURTESY OF NWS PHI


000
NOUS41 KPHI 300036
PNSPHI
PAZ055-300445-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
836 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2009

...TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR STROUDSBURG IN MONROE COUNTY
PENNSYLVANIA...

LOCATION...STROUDSBURG IN MONROE COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA
DATE...JULY 29, 2009
ESTIMATED TIME...1:35 PM EDT
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF-2
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...120 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...300 FEET
PATH LENGTH...5 MILES
FATALITIES...NONE
INJURIES...2

THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS CONFIRMED A
TORNADO NEAR STROUDSBURG IN MONROE COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA ON JULY 29,
2009.

THE TORNADO AFFECTED HAMILTON AND STROUD TOWNSHIPS IN SOUTHEAST
MONROE COUNTY, PA. FOUR LARGE FARM BUILDINGS WERE DESTROYED, ALONG
WITH ONE SINGLE-FAMILY GARAGE. ROOFS WERE BLOWN OFF OF TWO HOUSES.
TWO INJURIES WERE REPORTED, ONE OF WHICH REQUIRED HOSPITALIZATION.

THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/PHI.

FOR REFERENCE...THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO
THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES:

EF0...WIND SPEEDS 65 TO 85 MPH.
EF1...WIND SPEEDS 86 TO 110 MPH.
EF2...WIND SPEEDS 111 TO 135 MPH.
EF3...WIND SPEEDS 136 TO 165 MPH.
EF4...WIND SPEEDS 166 TO 200 MPH.
EF5...WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 200 MPH.

$$

AMC(alan Cope)

000
NOUS41 KPHI 301532
PNSPHI
NJZ001-301945-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1132 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2009

...TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR WANTAGE IN SUSSEX COUNTY NEW JERSEY...

LOCATION...WANTAGE IN SUSSEX COUNTY NEW JERSEY
DATE...JULY 29 2009
ESTIMATED TIME...248 PM - 300 PM EDT
MAXIMUM EF- SCALE RATING...EF2
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...120 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...100 YARDS
PATH LENGTH...7 MILES
FATALITIES...0
INJURIES...0

THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS CONFIRMED A
TORNADO NEAR WANTAGE IN SUSSEX COUNTY NEW JERSEY ON JULY 29 2009.

MOST OF THE WIND DAMAGE WAS MAINLY TO TREES. TWO BARNS PARTIALLY
COLLAPSED, ONE SILO WAS DESTROYED AND TWO OTHER SILOS WERE DAMAGED.

THIS WAS FIRST CONFIRMED TORNADO IN SUSSEX COUNTY SINCE AUGUST 13,
1990. THIS WAS THE FIRST CONFIRMED TORNADO IN THE MOUNT HOLLY CWA
PART OF NEW JERSEY SINCE JUNE 2, 2006. THIS IS THE STRONGEST
TORNADO EVER IN SUSSEX COUNTY SINCE RECORDS STARTED IN 1950. THIS
IS THE FIRST F2 OR EF2 TORNADO IN NEW JERSEY AS WELL AS IN THE
MOUNT HOLLY CWA SINCE MAY 27, 2001 IN MANALAPAN IN MONMOUTH
COUNTY.


THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/PHI.

FOR REFERENCE...THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO
THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES:

EF0...WIND SPEEDS 65 TO 85 MPH.
EF1...WIND SPEEDS 86 TO 110 MPH.
EF2...WIND SPEEDS 111 TO 135 MPH.
EF3...WIND SPEEDS 136 TO 165 MPH.
EF4...WIND SPEEDS 166 TO 200 MPH.
EF5...WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 200 MPH.

$$

TFG(tony gigi)




Vertict still out on southern nj

A HAIL Producer

At about 330pm i made the trip out to track a cell looking impressive on radar and it was looking decent,I headed towards an opening i use for observing in stewartsville. We had some pea size hail and 58 mph wind gusts with some small limbs down, there was also a nice lowering. there was some mammatus in the rear of the storms.

Severe Weather East of us , Nice Mammatus in the rear

Today it was a nice case day if u were in east va , we had some wind knockin a few trees over but it wasnt nothing to get exited about. I am actually waiting for news on where i lived in NJ as they may have got a tornado , damage scattered across town , when it was in the county prior it knocked a 110 ft radio tower over.

I will update


Dean D Davison

I will be at the National Weather Association Conference > Paper Accepted

I will be heading to Norfolk Va for the 34th annuel National Weather Association National Conference . I will be Presenting my paper on Roanoke Area Tornadoes


Disclaimer: I in Know way am using the NWA seal as one of my own , i am a member of the organization

STORMS CAUSE HAIL AND TORRENTAL DOWNPOURS ON THIS CHASEDAY

Desided to head out and grab a look at an explosive cell theat developed near blue ridge va area north of Stewartsville. I hopped in the truck and desided to go take a peak . i moved 4 miles east of my home location next to the fd i vol at and it gives u a good view . u can easily pull out a rain free base and a rain and hail core. the base lowered and it was trying to get its act together as some scud was getting sucked into it. as the rear flank passed winds of nearly 40 mph were observed

SKYWARN ONE CHASE CAR

Got My New 1997 Ford Explorer . Will be driving it in a few weeks. Doing Some upgrades for spotting and chasing . More Pics to Post soon



Dean D Davison
BEDFORD COUNTY SKYWARN / STORM CHASER

SEVERE WEATHER CAUSES TORNADOES IN PITTSLVANIA CO

TORNADO #1

Location:
4 miles north of Pittsville (Near Brights) in Pittsylvania county

Estimated Time on Ground:
10:48am to 10:50am
Rating:
EF1 (winds 86-110mph)
Path Width:
75yards

Path Length:
0.7miles
The tornado damaged mainly trees, however one DID fall on a house during the time on the ground.
________________________________________

TORNADO #2
Location:
Just south of Hurt in Pittsylvania county

Estimated Time on Ground:
11:02am to 11:04am
Rating:
EF1 (winds 86-95mph)
Path Width:
150yards

Path Length:
0.6miles
8 structures were damaged by fallen trees. A couple homes had trees that fell through the roof.

WELCOME TO SWVAMESO

My Name is Dean D Davison. I am a SKYWARN SPOTTER for 16yrs and a STORM CHASER in Bedford County VA near Roanoke VA. I will be sharing accounts on severe weather with u.